Unemployment and Worker-Firm Matching : Theory and Evidence from East and West Europe
The paper tests three hypotheses about the causes of unemployment in the Central-East European transition economies and in a benchmark market economy (Western part of Germany). The first hypothesis (H1) is that unemployment is caused by inefficient...
Main Authors: | , |
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Language: | English |
Published: |
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090107090518 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4008 |
Summary: | The paper tests three hypotheses about
the causes of unemployment in the Central-East European
transition economies and in a benchmark market economy
(Western part of Germany). The first hypothesis (H1) is that
unemployment is caused by inefficient matching. Hypothesis 2
(H2) is that unemployment is caused by low demand.
Hypothesis 3 (H3) is that restructuring is at work. Our
estimates suggest that the west and east German parts of
Germany, Czech Republic and Slovakia are consistent with H2
and H3. Hungary provides limited support to all three
hypotheses. Poland is consistent with H1. The economies in
question hence contain one broad group of countries and one
or two special cases. The group comprises the Czech
Republic, Hungary, Slovak Republic and (possibly) East
Germany. These countries resemble West Germany in that they
display increasing returns to scale in matching and
unemployment appears to be driven by restructuring and low
demand. The East German case is complex because of its major
active labor market policies and a negative trend in
efficiency in matching. In some sense, East Germany
resembles more Poland, which in addition to restructuring
and low demand for labor appears to suffer from a structural
mismatch reflected in relatively low returns to scale in
matching. Finally, our data provide evidence that goes
counter to one of the main predictions of the theories of
transition, namely that the turnover (inflow) rate in the
transition countries would rise dramatically at the start of
the transition, be temporarily very high and gradually
decline and approach the level observed in otherwise similar
market economies such as West Germany. |
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