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| LEADER |
02082nam a2200445 a 4500 |
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EBC908205 |
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MiAaPQ |
| 005 |
20200520144314.0 |
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m o d | |
| 007 |
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091015s2010 nyua sb 001 0 eng |
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|z 2009041215
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|a GBA9A1648
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|z 015396975
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|z 9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper)
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|z 0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper)
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|a 9780231521673 (electronic bk.)
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|a 0231521677 (electronic bk.)
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|a MiAaPQ
|c MiAaPQ
|d MiAaPQ
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| 050 |
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4 |
|a HG4529
|b .P67 2010
|
| 082 |
0 |
4 |
|a 332.63/2042
|2 22
|
| 100 |
1 |
|
|a Posner, Kenneth A.
|
| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Stalking the black swan
|h [electronic resource] :
|b research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
|c Kenneth A. Posner.
|
| 260 |
|
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|a New York :
|b Columbia Business School Publishing,
|c c2010.
|
| 300 |
|
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|a xv, 267 p. :
|b ill.
|
| 504 |
|
|
|a Includes bibliographical references and index.
|
| 505 |
0 |
|
|a Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
|
| 533 |
|
|
|a Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries.
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Investment analysis.
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Investments
|x Forecasting.
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Business cycles.
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Recessions.
|
| 655 |
|
4 |
|a Electronic books.
|
| 710 |
2 |
|
|a ProQuest (Firm)
|
| 856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/matrademy/detail.action?docID=908205
|z Click to View
|
