Description: Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Ghana

Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Ghana

Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Wodon, Quentin, Tsimpo, Clarence, Coulombe, Harold
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ABSOLUTE TERMS AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AGRICULTURAL WAGE AGRICULTURE AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE INCOMES BREAD BULLETIN CEREAL PRICES CEREALS COMPENSATORY MEASURES CONSUMER PRICES CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BASKET COST OF FOOD CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH DIET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT EXCHANGE RATE FARMERS FLOUR FOOD CONSUMERS FOOD CONSUMPTION FOOD CROPS FOOD ITEMS FOOD POLICY FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOOD PRICE FOOD PRICE INFLATION FOOD PRICES FOOD PRICING FOOD PRODUCERS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOOD SUBSIDIES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HOUSEHOLD SURVEY HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPACT ON POVERTY INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCREASE POVERTY INEQUALITY INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES MAIZE MINORITY NATIONAL LEVEL NATIONAL POVERTY NEGATIVE EFFECT NEGATIVE IMPACT NET INCOME POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POOR POOR HOUSEHOLD POOR HOUSEHOLDS POOR PRODUCERS POORER HOUSEHOLDS POVERTY DYNAMICS POVERTY GAP POVERTY IMPACT POVERTY INCREASES POVERTY LINE POVERTY MEASUREMENT POVERTY MEASURES POVERTY POVERTY POVERTY REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES PRODUCTION SIDE PROGRESS PURCHASING POWER REDUCING POVERTY REDUCTION IN POVERTY RURAL RURAL AREAS RURAL HEADCOUNT RURAL HEADCOUNT INDEX RURAL WELFARE SAFETY NET SHORT-TERM IMPACT SQUARED POVERTY GAP STAPLE FOODS SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA URBAN AREAS VULNERABLE HOUSEHOLDS
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/10/9900427/assessing-potential-impact-poverty-rising-cereals-prices-case-ghana http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6944

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Summary:	Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Ghana, the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because a large share of the rice consumed is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. For maize by contrast, the impact is ambiguous since much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Ghana using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, maize, and other cereals would together lead to an increase in poverty, but that by contrast to a number of other countries, this increase, while not negligible, may not be as large as feared.

Assessing the Potential Impact on Poverty of Rising Cereals Prices : The Case of Ghana

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