Aggregate Economic Shocks, Child Schooling and Child Health
Do aggregate economic shocks, such as those caused by macroeconomic crises or droughts, reduce child human capital? The answer to this question has important implications for public policy. If shocks reduce investments in children, they may transmi...
Main Authors: | , |
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Language: | English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/08/9794819/aggregate-economic-shocks-child-schooling-child-health http://hdl.handle.net/10986/6790 |
Summary: | Do aggregate economic shocks, such as
those caused by macroeconomic crises or droughts, reduce
child human capital? The answer to this question has
important implications for public policy. If shocks reduce
investments in children, they may transmit poverty from one
generation to the next. This paper uses a simple framework
to analyze the effects of aggregate economic shocks on child
schooling and health. It shows that the expected effects are
ambiguous, because of a tension between income and
substitution effects. The paper then reviews the recent
empirical literature on the subject. In richer countries,
like the United States, child health and education outcomes
are counter-cyclical: they improve during recessions. In
poorer countries, mostly in Africa and low-income Asia, the
outcomes are pro-cyclical: infant mortality rises, and
school enrollment and nutrition fall during recessions. In
the middle-income countries of Latin America, the picture is
more nuanced: health outcomes are generally pro-cyclical,
and education outcomes counter-cyclical. Each of these
findings is consistent with the simple conceptual framework.
The paper discusses possible implications for expenditure allocation. |
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