A Vulnerability Approach to the Definition of the Middle Class
Measurement of the middle class has recently come to the center of policy debate in middle-income countries as they search for the potential engines of growth and good governance. This debate assumes, first, that there is a meaningful definition of...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Language: | English |
Published: |
2012
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111207160021 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3669 |
Summary: | Measurement of the middle class has
recently come to the center of policy debate in
middle-income countries as they search for the potential
engines of growth and good governance. This debate assumes,
first, that there is a meaningful definition of class, and
second, that thresholds that define relatively homogeneous
groups in terms of pre-determined sociological
characteristics can be found empirically. This paper aims at
proposing a view of the middle class based on vulnerability
to poverty. Following this approach the paper exploits panel
data to determine the amount of comparable income --
associated with a low probability of falling into poverty --
which could define the lower bound of the middle class. The
paper looks at absolute thresholds, challenging the view
that people above the poverty line are actually part of the
middle class. The estimated lower threshold is used in
cross-section surveys to quantify the size and the evolution
of middle classes in Chile, Mexico, and Peru over the past
two decades. The first relevant feature relates to the fact
that the proposed thresholds lie around the 60th percentile
of the distribution. The evidence also shows that the middle
class has increased significantly in all three countries,
suggesting that a higher number of households face lower
probabilities of falling into poverty than they did in the
1990s. There is an important group of people, however, which
cannot be defined as middle class from this perspective, but
are not eligible for poverty programs according to
traditional definitions of poverty. |
---|