Building Resilience in Turkey : Quantifying Climate and Disaster Risks to Critical Infrastructure, Lifelines and Agriculture
The report discusses the methodological steps undertaken to inform the three studies and provides an overview of new approaches and insights for quantifying climate and disaster risks to critical infrastructure, lifelines and agriculture in specifi...
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| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2020
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/930551595824880807/Building-Resilience-in-Turkey-Quantifying-Climate-and-Disaster-Risks-to-Critical-Infrastructure-Lifelines-and-Agriculture-New-Approaches http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34338 |
| Summary: | The report discusses the methodological
steps undertaken to inform the three studies and provides an
overview of new approaches and insights for quantifying
climate and disaster risks to critical infrastructure,
lifelines and agriculture in specific regions and
operational units in Turkey. The studies subject to review
in this report are considered to be first of their kind in
Turkey and are expected to set an example for other
institutions to build capacities to deal with various
adverse effects of climate change and natural disasters on
their key industries, assets and services. The studies are
not short of limitations, due to their pilot nature. All
three studies aim to provide risk-informed strategic
guidance to beneficiary counterparts, rather than
detail-oriented and theoretical approaches. All three
reports build on probabilistic multi-hazard risk assessments
-each risk assessment comprises the following steps: (i)
defining and understanding criticality of the assets and
products; (ii) understanding vulnerability of critical
infrastructure and key assets/products; and (iii) addressing
vulnerability. The report further focuses on the Key
Agricultural Product Risk Assessment (KAPRA) study. The
KAPRA aims to develop financial options to build resilience
in Izmir’s agricultural economy and competitiveness by
taking into account the effects of climate change and the
risks associated with it as well as the sustainability of
natural resources and social dynamics. The KAPRA is one of
the first in Turkey to look at the effects of climate change
on agricultural outputs and to suggest solutions for
economically viable climate change adaptation and resilience
measures in the agricultural sector. The study was conducted
in collaboration with Izmir Development Agency (IZKA). The
report explains the framework which was developed in the
KAPRA for the concept of ‘key agricultural product’ and then
shows how five key agricultural products were chosen for
Izmir region, focusing on economic, social and ecological
impacts. The report explains in a next step the methodology
of the KAPRA for assessing climate change risks through the
production chain, focusing on changes in the precipitation
regime and in air temperatures, hailstorms, drought events
and frost event. The methodology of the risk assessment is
showcased with the example of olive oil production. Finally,
resilience solutions and business cases which were developed
in the KAPRA are presented based on two examples of olive
oil production. |
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