Welfare and Poverty Effects of Global Agricultural and Trade Policies Using the Linkage Model
This paper analyzes the economic effects of agricultural price and merchandise trade policies around the world as of 2004 on global markets, net farm incomes, and national and regional economic welfare and poverty, using the global economy wide Lin...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/788661468330888728/Welfare-and-poverty-effects-of-global-agricultural-and-trade-policies-using-the-Linkage-model http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28155 |
Summary: | This paper analyzes the economic effects
of agricultural price and merchandise trade policies around
the world as of 2004 on global markets, net farm incomes,
and national and regional economic welfare and poverty,
using the global economy wide Linkage model, new estimates
of agricultural price distortions for developing countries,
and poverty elasticity's approach. It addresses two
questions: to what extent are policies as of 2004 still
reducing rewards from farming in developing countries and
thereby adding to inequality across countries in farm
household incomes? Are they depressing value added more in
primary agriculture than in the rest of the economy of
developing countries, and earnings of unskilled workers more
than of owners of other factors of production, thereby
potentially contributing to inequality and poverty within
developing countries (given that farm incomes are well below
non-farm incomes in most developing countries and that
agriculture there is intensive in the use of unskilled
labor)? Results are presented for the key countries and
regions of the world and for the world as a whole. They
reveal that, by moving to free markets, income inequality
between countries will be reduced at least slightly, all but
one-sixth of the gains to developing countries will come
from agricultural policy reform, unskilled workers in
developing countries the majority of whom work on farms will
benefit most from reform, net farm incomes in developing
countries will rise by 6 percent compared with 2 percent for
non-agricultural value added, and the number of people
surviving on less than US$1 a day will drop 3 percent globally. |
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