Armenia Demographic Change : Implications for Social Policy and Poverty
This note provides an overview of demographic changes and their policy implications in Armenia, with particular reference to the poor. Armenia is currently experiencing a significant aging of the population and decrease in the size of the populatio...
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| Language: | English |
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World Bank
2012
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| Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000333037_20111212235403 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2803 |
| Summary: | This note provides an overview of
demographic changes and their policy implications in
Armenia, with particular reference to the poor. Armenia is
currently experiencing a significant aging of the population
and decrease in the size of the population, these changes
have far-reaching implications. The fertility rate in
Armenia has fallen dramatically, from about 4.5 children per
woman in the 1950s to 1.74 children per woman at present,
which is well under the fertility rate required for
population replacement. Armenia's population, which
stood at 3.5 million people in 1990, is expected to decrease
to 3 million by 2050. This trend, combined with increasing
life expectancy, underlies the growing rise in the
percentage of elderly persons and the decline in the
working-age population. This note provides an overview of
the key demographic changes unfolding in Armenia, highlights
their linkages with social spending, and draws policy
implications for labor force participation, productivity,
and ultimately for Armenia's development and poverty
reduction trajectory. The note is structured as follows:
section two summarizes the key demographic trends underway
in Armenia; section three presents a profile of poverty and
social spending by age; section four analyzes the four
policy issues as listed in column 2 of table 1. In each of
these three sections, the poverty reduction angle is
emphasized. The final section provides a summary of the key messages. |
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