Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam, 2002-2006
This paper provides a descriptive and multivariate analysis of poverty dynamics in Vietnam using panel data from the Vietnam household living standards surveys of 2002, 2004, and 2006. Transition matrices and contour plots confirm that while large...
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| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Hanoi
2017
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/309531468267611416/Poverty-dynamics-in-Vietnam-2002-2006 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27728 |
| Summary: | This paper provides a descriptive and
multivariate analysis of poverty dynamics in Vietnam using
panel data from the Vietnam household living standards
surveys of 2002, 2004, and 2006. Transition matrices and
contour plots confirm that while large numbers of households
moved out of poverty between these years, many did not move
far the poverty line and that around a tenth of rural
households appear to be trapped in chronic poverty.
Different categorical models are then estimated to analyze
the correlates of chronic poverty and the drivers of poverty
transitions in rural areas. Initial conditions, such as
household size and composition, whether the household head
comes from an ethnic minority or failed to complete primary
school, and residence in northern Vietnam, have important
roles in trapping households in poverty. Simultaneous
quintile regression models show the chronically poor are
more disadvantaged by geography and ethnic minority status,
while changes in household size and the share of children
matter more to the living standards of the never poor. |
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