Kenya Exports Performance Overview
Kenya's economy has been running on one engine. Kenya's strong engine is domestic consumption, which accounts for 75 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Kenya's weak engine remains its exports, which have been declining sharply...
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/933041468278359551/Kenya-exports-performance-overview http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26810 |
Summary: | Kenya's economy has been running on
one engine. Kenya's strong engine is domestic
consumption, which accounts for 75 percent of Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). Kenya's weak engine remains its exports,
which have been declining sharply in relative importance.
Kenya's top four main exports do not earn enough to pay
for oil imports, not to mention other imports. It will be
very difficult for Kenya to achieve high growth over an
extended period of time because of its existing economic
imbalances. Kenya needs to increase its export
competitiveness. It is clear that Kenya's trade
performance is below its potential. The objective of this
overview is to provide some of that analysis and to
contribute to the policy dialogue on the role of exports
Kenya's future growth. This paper focuses on five
issues: 1) overall trade orientation and export growth; 2)
merchandise export trends; 3) merchandise exports by sector;
4) merchandise exports by destination; and 5)
diversification. The growth of merchandise exports has been
slow and volatile. The average annual growth rate of
merchandise exports has been only 10 percent. And while
countries such as Vietnam have has a distinct export growth
trajectory with steady growth in merchandise exports year
after year, Kenya's pattern has been rather volatile
with a few good years followed by major falls. Export growth
has been driven primarily by existing products in existing
markets. Overall there has been little new product/new
market discovery. |
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