Mongolia Economic Retrospective 2008-2010
Mongolia was one of the East Asian economies hardest hit by the global downturn, as copper prices collapsed and external demand fell. With the recovery in economic activity currently well underway, but the policy challenges highlighted by the crisi...
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Language: | English |
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World Bank
2012
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Online Access: | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000334955_20101116040000 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/2527 |
Summary: | Mongolia was one of the East Asian
economies hardest hit by the global downturn, as copper
prices collapsed and external demand fell. With the recovery
in economic activity currently well underway, but the policy
challenges highlighted by the crisis yet to be fully
addressed, this economic retrospective examines the key
economic, financial, and policy developments from mid 2008
to April 2010. Collapsing mineral prices and a steep drop in
external demand due to the global downturn of 2008 and 2009
were the external shocks which were transmitted to
Mongolia's economy. This shock exposed underlying
weaknesses in the economic structure and policy environment.
More generally, now is the time to put in place a strong
policy framework to manage the upcoming mining boom and
avoid the mistakes of the past. The looming mining boom
brings the risks of "Dutch disease" effects and a
return to the profligate populism of the past. Measures to
address these risks include the recently adopted fiscal
stability law that will help the country move away from the
fiscal boom and bust cycles of the past; improvements to the
budget process and the planning and management of public
investments in order to more efficiently absorb the large
projected increases in revenues; and appropriate policy
frameworks to support future infrastructure investment.
Implementing a targeted poverty benefit should also ensure
the poor are protected from mining boom and busts in a
fiscally sustainable manner. Finally, continued reforms in
the mining sector will enhance incentives for new
exploration and environmentally and socially sustainable development. |
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