Rising Tempers, Rising Temperatures : A Look at Climate Change, Migration and Conflict and the Implications for Youth in the Sahel Region
Section one of the papers provides a brief overview of the relationship between the Sahel region of Africa and climate variability trends and predictions, ultimately posing the primary research question of the study: Is the Sahel region more likely...
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| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2016
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/01/25830681/rising-tempers-rising-temperatures-look-climate-change-migration-conflict-implications-youth-sahel-region http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23838 |
| Summary: | Section one of the papers provides a
brief overview of the relationship between the Sahel region
of Africa and climate variability trends and predictions,
ultimately posing the primary research question of the
study: Is the Sahel region more likely to have a higher
probability of conflict and migration as a result of climate
change and climate change-related events? In section two,
research and analysis aim to identify causal paths between
climate change, migration, and conflict via structural
equation modeling focusing on recent climate change trends
in the Africa and Sahel regions, particularly changes in
temperature and rainfall, and analyzing the consequences of
this climate variabil¬ity, namely migration and conflict.
Section three brings the aspect of youth into the analysis,
arguing that youth living in the rural Sahel region will
likely find themselves particularly vulnerable to in¬creased
climate change and variability, which will have direct and
indirect implications on the security and livelihoods of
these individuals. The paper explores the past, current and
predicted issues faced by rural Sahel youth affected by the
impacts of climate change, such as chronic unemployment and
engagement in the illicit sector due to rural to urban
migration from regions affected by drought, desertification
and resource scarcity. The final section of the paper offers
policy recommen¬dations for addressing negative
climate-change related consequences through two key paths of
intervention: (i) climate change adaptation measures and
(ii) conflict and crime prevention measures. |
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