Description: Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

Agriculture is among the most risk-prone sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in agricultural product and input prices not only impact farmers and agri-business firms, bu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Broka, Sandra, Giertz, Åsa, Christensen, Garry, Hanif, Charity, Rasmussen, Debra
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2016
Subjects:	TARIFFS POULTRY TRANSFER OF RIGHTS PRODUCER GROUPS EXPORT MARKETS MARKET STRUCTURE MILLING ANIMAL PRODUCTS RAW MATERIAL WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION PRICE INCREASES AGRICULTURAL CREDIT AGRICULTURAL REFORM MILLS MILK AGRICULTURE SECTOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION FARM PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BARRIERS AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES AGRICULTURAL SECTORS DOMESTIC MARKET EXPORTS FARM MANAGEMENT TRADE FLOWS FOOD PURCHASES DAIRY DIRECT PAYMENTS PRICE BEEF PRICES BEEF MEAT PAYMENTS MARKET ACCESS MOBILIZATION AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT FREE TRADE AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION TRADE AGREEMENTS LIVESTOCK UNITS AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES FOREIGN MARKETS ANIMAL HEALTH CROP INSURANCE OILS CROP PRODUCTION PRODUCTION SYSTEM MILK PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE MARKET AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES MARKET DEVELOPMENT FENCING AGRICULTURAL EXPORT AGRICULTURAL MARKETS SILOS AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY RAW MATERIALS ARTIFICIAL INSEMINATION LOCAL FOOD PRODUCTION CORPORATE FARMS EXCHANGE RATES SILAGE LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS DRYING IMPORT RESTRICTIONS WORLD PRICES CROP PROTECTION AGRICULTURE POLICY AGRICULTURAL ECONOMY CUTTING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY IMPORTS LIVESTOCK FARMERS SOYBEAN MEAL TRADE AGREEMENT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOOD PRODUCTS VOLUME CROPS MARKET INFORMATION SYSTEMS SMALL HOLDERS IMPORT TARIFFS COMBINES AGRICULTURAL POLICY TRANSACTIONS TRADE TRANSACTION CROP YIELDS TRANSACTION MARKETING CONTRACTS AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR LIVESTOCK SECTOR AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES FOOD SECURITY COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DOMESTIC MARKETS AGRIBUSINESS MARKET PRICES EXTENSION SERVICES AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS FARM PRODUCTION WHEAT TRADE PURCHASING POWER ANIMAL FEED DAIRY PROCESSORS TRADE ORGANIZATION PRICE RISK AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AGRICULTURE AGRICULTURAL LAND GREEN TECHNOLOGY FOOD SAFETY STANDARDS TRADE FACILITATION FRESH FRUIT AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS FARM MILK BREEDING STOCK FERTILIZATION INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS FOREIGN EXCHANGE MEAT PRODUCTS COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL MARKET CROP ROTATIONS PRICE MOVEMENTS HANDLING OF PRODUCTS COTTON DAIRY COWS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS LAND AGRICULTURAL LENDING BEEF PRODUCTION FARM STORAGE INTERNATIONAL MARKET PRICE RISKS SUPERMARKETS FARM RAW MILK HOUSEHOLDS ANIMAL PASSPORT RURAL AREAS FARMS FOOD SAFETY TARIFF MEAT FEED DAIRY MARKET EXPORT TERM FINANCING AGRICULTURAL FINANCE AVERAGE FARM MILK FARM INPUTS QUALITY ASSURANCE COMMODITIES VEGETABLE OILS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT FARMING SYSTEMS COWS PRICE INDEX MILK PRICES IMPORT VALUE INTERNATIONAL MARKETS GRAIN PRICES AGRICULTURAL GOODS SUGAR
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/02/25908758/tajikistan-agricultural-sector-risk-assessment http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23765

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Summary:	Agriculture is among the most risk-prone sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in agricultural product and input prices not only impact farmers and agri-business firms, but can also strain government finances. Some of these risks are small and localized and can be managed by producers. Others are the result of more severe, exogenous shocks outside agriculture or outside the country, which require a broader response. Failure to respond adequately to these more severe risks leads to a perpetual cycle of ‘shock-recovery-shock’, which reinforces poverty traps and compromises long-term growth. The agriculture sector’s exposure to production and price risk is increasing. Climate change is increasing production risks in the short to medium-term by increasing the frequency and severity of droughts and floods and in the longer-term by reducing the availability of water for irrigation due to accelerated glacial melt. The modernization and commercialization of agricultural production and processing, which is critical for sector growth, also raises the sector’s exposure to price risk at a time of high volatility on international markets for agricultural commodities. An effective response to these risks requires a broader, more integrated approach to risk management than the current system of ex-ante, public sector activity associated with crop and livestock disease and ad hoc, ex-post emergency responses to local disasters. Measures to strengthen risk mitigation will need to be mainstreamed into sector development and investment programs, additional human and financial resources will need to be allocated to the public institutions responsible for ex-ante and ex-post risk management, and the potential for transfer (insurance) mechanisms will need to be clarified and developed where feasible. Given the limited human and financial resources available for public sector activity, a clear sense of the priorities for agriculture risk management is also required, together with a balanced view of the respective roles of public and private sector stakeholders.

Tajikistan Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

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