Unconditional Cash Transfers in China : An Analysis of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee Program
This paper examines China’s rural minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of the largest minimum income cash transfer schemes in the world. Using household survey data matched with published administrative data, the paper describes t...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2015
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/07/24808135/unconditional-cash-transfers-china-analysis-rural-minimum-living-standard-guarantee-program http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22458 |
Summary: | This paper examines China’s rural
minimum living standard guarantee (dibao) program, one of
the largest minimum income cash transfer schemes in the
world. Using household survey data matched with published
administrative data, the paper describes the dibao program,
estimates the program’s impact on poverty, and carries out
targeting analysis. The analysis finds that the program
provides sufficient income to poor beneficiaries but does
not substantially reduce the overall level of poverty, in
part because the number of beneficiaries is small relative
to the number of poor. Conventional targeting analysis
reveals rather large inclusionary and exclusionary targeting
errors; propensity score targeting analysis yields smaller
but still large targeting errors. Simulations of possible
reforms to the dibao program indicate that expanding
coverage can potentially yield greater poverty reduction
than increasing transfer amounts. In addition, replacing
locally diverse dibao lines with a nationally uniform dibao
threshold could in theory reduce poverty. The potential
gains in poverty reduction, however, depend on the
effectiveness of targeting. |
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