EU11 Regular Economic Report, Issue #29, July 2014 : Strengthening Recovery in Central and Eastern Europe
Economic growth is expected to almost double in EU111 in 2014, and continues to strengthen in 2015. Overall EU11 GDP growth is forecast to strengthen from 1.4 percent in 2013 to 2.6 percent in 2014. The initial reliance on net export growth, with r...
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/20455944/strengthening-recovery-central-eastern-europe http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21040 |
Summary: | Economic growth is expected to almost
double in EU111 in 2014, and continues to strengthen in
2015. Overall EU11 GDP growth is forecast to strengthen from
1.4 percent in 2013 to 2.6 percent in 2014. The initial
reliance on net export growth, with rising demand from the
rest of the EU, is gradually giving way to more balanced
growth as domestic demand picks-up, notably in Romania,
Slovakia and Poland. Fiscal consolidation will continue in
2014 and 2015, but at a more gradual pace than in the
previous years. The overall EU11 fiscal deficit is expected
to drop to 2.9 percent of GDP in 2014 and to 2.5 percent of
GDP in 2015. However, there is a need for larger adjustments
in Croatia and Slovenia to achieve sustainable deficit and
debt levels. Economic growth forecasts in the EU11 are
subject to multiple risks, mainly on the downside, as the
global financial situation remains fragile. While labor
market conditions have started to improve, the pace of job
creation and reduction in unemployment rates are likely to
be gradual. |
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