Social Impacts of Climate Change in Chile : A Municipal Level Analysis of the Effects of Recent and Future Climate Change on Human Development and Inequality
This paper uses municipality level data to estimate the general relationship between climate, income, and life expectancy in Chile. The analysis finds that incomes are negatively related to temperature, while life expectancy is not significantly re...
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| Language: | English en_US |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11633478/social-impacts-climate-change-chile-municipal-level-analysis-effects-recent-future-climate-change-human-development-inequality http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19937 |
| Summary: | This paper uses municipality level data
to estimate the general relationship between climate,
income, and life expectancy in Chile. The analysis finds
that incomes are negatively related to temperature, while
life expectancy is not significantly related to average
temperatures. Both incomes and life expectancy are greater
in areas with either very little rain or a lot of rain. The
authors use the estimated relationships to simulate the
effects of both past (1958-08) and future (2008-58) climate
change. The findings indicate that past climate change has
been favorable for the central, and most populous, part of
Chile, and it has contributed to reduced poverty and reduced
inequality of health outcomes. Whereas temperatures in the
past have shown a downward trend for most of the Chilean
population, climate models suggest that they will increase
in the future, and that there will be a reduction in
precipitation in the central part of Chile. The analysis
simulates the likely effects of these projected climate
changes over the next 50 years. The findings suggest that
expected future climate will tend to reduce incomes across
the whole country, with an average reduction of about 7
percent, all other things equal. |
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