Policy Reform, Economic Growth, and the Digital Divide : An Econometric Analysis
Rapid growth of Internet use in high-income economies, has raised the specter of a "digital divide" that will marginalize developing countries, because they can neither afford Internet access, nor use it effectively when it is available....
Main Authors: | , , |
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/03/1047445/policy-reform-economic-growth-digital-divide-econometric-analysis http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19692 |
Summary: | Rapid growth of Internet use in
high-income economies, has raised the specter of a
"digital divide" that will marginalize developing
countries, because they can neither afford Internet access,
nor use it effectively when it is available. Using a new
cross-country data set, the authors investigate two
proximate determinants of the digital divide: Internet
intensity (Internet subscriptions per telephones mainline),
and access to telecom services. Surprisingly, they find no
gap in Internet intensity. When differences in urbanization,
and competition policy are controlled for, low-income
countries have intensities as high as those of industrial
countries. While income does not seem to matter in this
context, competition policy matters a great deal. Low-income
countries with high World Bank ratings for competition
policy, have significantly higher Internet intensities. The
authors' findings on Internet intensity implies that
the digital divide is not really new, but reflects a
persistent gap in the availability of mainline telephones
services. After identifying mobile telephones as a promising
new platform for Internet access, they use panel data to
study the determinants of mobile telephone diffusion during
the past decade. Their results show that income explains
part of the diffusion lag for poor countries, but they also
highlight the critical role of policy. Developing countries
whose policies promote economic growth, and private sector
competition, have experienced much more rapid diffusion of
mobile telephone services. Simulations based on the
econometric results, suggest that feasible reforms could
sharply narrow the digital divide during the next decade for
many countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The
authors' review of the literature, also suggests that
direct access promotion would yield substantial benefits for
poor households, and that cost-effective intervention
strategies are now available. |
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