United Republic of Tanzania Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability Review 2008
Rising inflation represents a serious challenge for the government, including fiscal policy. By December 2008, inflation has risen to 13.5 percent, far above the government target of five percent since 2004. It is important the government continue...
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC
2014
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2009/06/10744321/tanzania-public-expenditure-financial-accountability-review-2008 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19315 |
Summary: | Rising inflation represents a serious
challenge for the government, including fiscal policy. By
December 2008, inflation has risen to 13.5 percent, far
above the government target of five percent since 2004. It
is important the government continue its effort to reduce
inflation through monetary and fiscal policies, including
reducing inflationary pressures on the budget by controlling
wage bill growth in line with medium-term pay policy. The
2008-09 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) projected
optimistic targets for domestic revenue and, at a same time,
pessimistic targets for foreign aid. Although domestic
revenue has been rising over the recent past, the targeted
18.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in revenue
effort is high given the fact that revenue has increased by
only one percent of GDP annually in the past five years. It
is important to improve reliability of the macro-framework
by sustaining efforts to develop capacity in macro-fiscal
policy and macro-modeling, which is an important tool for
the government to properly assess expected levels of
domestic revenue collection over the medium term. Although
some major achievements have been obtained in capacity
building program, priority areas for intervention have also
been identified for 2009. These areas are: (i) strengthening
of macroeconomic model (MACMOD) and the macro policy
framework paper, taking into account the world economic
crisis as well as new data developments in Tanzania; (ii)
initiating MTEF upgrades (both central and sector) as well
as program budgeting starting with the ministry of health
and social welfare; and (iii) preparing the second edition
of the budget background and medium term framework for
2009/10 - 2011/12. |
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