What Explains Rwanda's Drop in Fertility between 2005 and 2010?
Following a decade-and-a-half stall, fertility in Rwanda dropped sharply between 2005 and 2010. Using a hierarchical age-period-cohort model, this paper finds that the drop in fertility is largely driven by cohort effects, with younger cohorts havi...
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| Language: | English en_US |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/01/18767820/explains-rwandas-drop-fertility-between-2005-2010-vol-1-1 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/18354 |
| Summary: | Following a decade-and-a-half stall,
fertility in Rwanda dropped sharply between 2005 and 2010.
Using a hierarchical age-period-cohort model, this paper
finds that the drop in fertility is largely driven by cohort
effects, with younger cohorts having substantially fewer
children than older cohorts observed at the same age. An
Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is applied on two successive
rounds of the Demographic and Health Survey. The findings
show that improved female education levels account for the
largest part of the fertility decline, with improving
household living standards and the progressive move toward
non-agricultural employment being important secondary
drivers. The drop in fertility has been particularly salient
for the younger cohorts, for whom the fertility decline can
be fully explained by changes in underlying determinants,
most notably the large increase in educational attainment
between 2005 and 2010. |
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