Is Labor Income Responsible for Poverty Reduction? A Decomposition Approach
Demographics, labor income, public transfers, or remittances: Which factor contributes the most to observed reductions in poverty? Using counterfactual simulations, this paper accounts for the contribution labor income has made to the observed chan...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2013
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/04/17599289/labor-income-responsible-poverty-reduction-decomposition-approach http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15552 |
Summary: | Demographics, labor income, public
transfers, or remittances: Which factor contributes the most
to observed reductions in poverty? Using counterfactual
simulations, this paper accounts for the contribution labor
income has made to the observed changes in poverty over the
past decade for a set of 16 countries that have experienced
substantial declines in poverty. In contrast to methods that
focus on aggregate summary statistics, the analysis
generates entire counterfactual distributions that allow
assessing the contributions of different factors to observed
distributional changes. Decompositions across all possible
paths are calculated so the estimates are not subject to
path-dependence. The analysis shows that for most countries
in the sample, labor income is the most important
contributor to changes in poverty. In ten of the countries,
labor income explains more than half of the change in
moderate poverty; in another four, it accounts for more than
40 percent of the reduction in poverty. Although public and
private transfers were relatively more important in
explaining the reduction in extreme poverty, more and
better-paying jobs were the key factors behind poverty
reduction over the past decade. |
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