Unemployment-Poverty Trade-Offs
The author examines the potential trade-offs that may arise between poverty alleviation and unemployment reduction. He discusses various analytical arguments that may provide a rationale for their existence, and uses three alternative methodologies...
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, D.C.
2013
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/05/4973104/unemployment-poverty-trade-offs http://hdl.handle.net/10986/14028 |
Summary: | The author examines the potential
trade-offs that may arise between poverty alleviation and
unemployment reduction. He discusses various analytical
arguments that may provide a rationale for their existence,
and uses three alternative methodologies to assess their
relevance: a vector autoregression framework (which is
applied to Brazil and Chile), cross-country regressions, and
simulations with a structural macro model linked to a
household survey. Impulse response functions to output and
wage shocks indicate no short-run tradeoff. between
unemployment and poverty. By contrast, regression results,
which control for a variety of determinants of poverty rates
across countries, suggest that such a trade-off may indeed
exist. Simulations with the structural model show that labor
market reforms may induce both short- and long-run
trade-offs between the composition of unemployment and the
incidence of poverty among household groups. |
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