Reaching the Millennium Development Goals in Latin America : Preliminary Results
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) have been adopted by the international community as a series of development targets to be accomplished over the period 1990-2015. The MDGs are an expanded set of the original International Development Goals (...
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Language: | English |
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Washington, DC
2012
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Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2512193/reaching-millennium-development-goals-latin-america-preliminary-results http://hdl.handle.net/10986/10403 |
Summary: | The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
have been adopted by the international community as a series
of development targets to be accomplished over the period
1990-2015. The MDGs are an expanded set of the original
International Development Goals (IDGs), which were initially
put forward by the Development Assistance Committee of the
OECD. The present set of MDGs consists of 8 broad goals,
with 18 targets and 48 indicators (see box). In this note,
we assess the feasibility of reaching these goals in Latin
America using SimSIP Goals, a simulator part of a broader
set of tools originally designed to help Governments prepare
Poverty Reduction Strategies. In order to compute future
values for poverty and social indicators, the simulator
takes into account projections for future GDP growth,
population growth, and urbanization, and elasticities of
poverty and social indicators to these variables. The
elasticities for social indicators are based on regressions
from world-wide panel data, while those for poverty and
extreme poverty are based on data for Latin America. For
non-monetary indicators, time trends are also estimated from
country-level data2. The hypotheses for urbanization and
population growth follow baseline scenarios from the United Nations. |
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