Cover Image

The Future of Africa : Challenges and Opportunities.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cilliers, Jakkie.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG, 2021.
Edition:1st ed.
Subjects:
Electronic books.
Online Access:Click to View
Table of Contents:
  • The Future of Africa
  • Preface and Acknowledgments
  • Contents
  • List of Figures
  • List of Tables
  • 1 The Growing Gap
  • The Growing Income Divergence
  • South Korea and Ghana
  • The Importance of Labour and Demographics
  • Productivity and Economic Structure
  • The Global Context
  • Dealing with Africa's Diversity-Using Country Income Groups
  • Previous Studies and the International Futures Forecasting Platform
  • Structure of the Book
  • Further Reading
  • 2 Africa's Current Path
  • From Brundtland to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
  • The Impact of the Structural Adjustment Programmes
  • Africa's Growing Dependence on Commodities
  • The Challenges of Commodities-Dependent Growth
  • Rising Debt Levels
  • The Third Wave of Democratisation in Africa
  • Africa's Slow Pace of Urbanisation
  • The Current Path Scenario
  • 3 Health
  • The Impact of HIV and AIDS
  • Africa's Approaching Health Transition
  • Urbanisation and Health Services
  • Current Path: Access to Basic Infrastructure
  • Modelling the Impact of Better Health and WASH Infrastructure: The Improved Health Scenario
  • Impact on Disability Adjusted Life Years
  • Conclusion: Planning Comprehensively and Long-Term
  • Further Reading
  • 4 Getting to Africa's Demographic Dividend
  • What History Reveals
  • The Impact of the Demographic Dividend
  • Comparing Niger, Egypt, Japan and Sweden
  • Africa's Slow Demographic Transition
  • The Peak and Length of the Demographic Dividend
  • The Potential Benefits of Reducing Fertility Rates
  • The Components of the Demographic Dividend Scenario
  • Scenario Impact on Global Population
  • Impact of the Demographic Dividend on Africa
  • Conclusion: Reducing Fertility Rates and Working Towards Africa's Demographic Dividend
  • Further Reading
  • 5 Wanted: A Revolution in Agriculture
  • After Independence
  • Agriculture Today.
  • Obstacles to a Revolution in Agriculture
  • Achieving Food Security
  • The Challenge for the Future
  • Lessons from Elsewhere
  • Modelling a Coordinated Push on Africa's Agricultural Sector: The African Agriculture Revolution Scenario
  • The Contributions from Technology and Innovation
  • Conclusion: Aiming at Food Security and Growth
  • Further Reading
  • 6 Boosting Education
  • Recent Education Trends in Africa
  • Comparing Education in Africa with Other Regions
  • The Low Quality of Education in Africa
  • Rates of Gender Exclusion
  • Africa's Future Education Requirements
  • Modelling the Impact of Improved Quality, Quantity and Nature of Education Across Gender: The Boosting Education Scenario
  • From Basics to Technology
  • Conclusion: Prioritising Education Outcomes
  • Further Reading
  • 7 Poverty, Inequality and Growth
  • Globalisation and the Sense of Relative Deprivation
  • The Interplay Between Inequality and Growth
  • The SDGs and Measuring Extreme Poverty
  • The Impact of the Additional Poverty Lines
  • The Current Situation in Africa
  • The Potential of Social Grants to Reduce Poverty
  • The Promise of an African Welfare State?
  • Modelling the Impact of Using Tax Revenues for Social Grants: The Social Grants for Africa Scenario
  • Conclusion: Reducing Poverty Through Rapid and Inclusive Economic Growth
  • Further Reading
  • 8 Changing Productive Structures
  • The Contribution of Services to Growth
  • The Impact of the Diffusion of Knowledge
  • Manufacturing in Africa
  • Composition of African Economies
  • Industrialisation and Growth in Africa
  • Modelling the Impact of Industrialisation: The Made in Africa Scenario
  • Costs and Benefits of a Manufacturing Pathway
  • Conclusion: Promoting and Intensifying Local Production and Trade
  • Further Reading
  • 9 The Future of Work in Africa
  • Trends in Employment.
  • Automation and the Threat to Work
  • The Impact of Digitisation in Ghana
  • The Promise of Greater Economic Formalisation in Ghana
  • Conclusion: Thinking Differently About the Future
  • Further Reading
  • 10 Technological Innovation and the Power of Leapfrogging
  • The Shale and Tight Oil Revolution in the USA
  • The Potential of Renewable Energy in Africa
  • The Challenge of Energy Storage (Power-to-X)
  • Mobile Phones and Access to the Internet-A Big Leap for Africa
  • M-Pesa and Innovation in Mobile Banking
  • Mobile Phones and Social Change
  • Formalising the Informal Sector
  • Modelling the Impact of Improved Electricity Access, ICT and Digitisation: The Leapfrogging Scenario
  • Conclusion: Harnessing Technology for the Future
  • Further Reading
  • 11 Trade and Growth
  • From GATT to the Decline of Multilateralism
  • The Impact of Preferential Access: Everything But Arms and AGOA
  • Africa's Shifting Trade Relations with the Rest of the World
  • Intra-African Trade and Efforts at Advancing Regional Integration
  • The Need for Connecting Infrastructure-And the Challenge of Non-Tariff Barriers
  • Perspectives on the Promise of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA)
  • The Potential Impact of AfCFTA?
  • Modelling the Impact of Regional Economic Integration: The Africa Free Trade Area Scenario
  • Conclusion: Advancing Africa's Trade
  • Further Reading
  • 12 Prospects for Greater Peace
  • Trends in Conflict
  • Africa's Leadership in Conflict Prevention and Management
  • Changing Characteristics of Organised Violence
  • More Riots
  • Structural Drivers of Violence
  • Regime Capacity, Type and Regime Dissonance
  • Youth and Unemployment
  • Poor Governance and High Levels of Inequality
  • Modelling the Prospects for Greater Peace: The Silencing the Guns Scenario
  • Conclusion: Focusing on Conflict Prevention
  • Further Reading.
  • 13 Good Governance, Democracy and Development
  • The State of Democracy in Africa
  • Is Democracy Making a Difference to Development Prospects in Africa?
  • The Realities of Neopatrimonialism in Africa
  • The Role of Leadership in Development
  • Modelling the Impact of More Democracy: The Fourth Wave of Democracy Scenario
  • Conclusion: Promoting Democracy, State Capacity and Human Development
  • Further Reading
  • 14 Aid, Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment
  • The Shifting Global Aid Landscape
  • Leveraging Foreign Direct Investment for Africa
  • China's Growing Footprint in Africa
  • Remittance Flows to Africa
  • Modelling Increased FDI, Aid and Remittances: The External Support Scenario
  • The Impact of the Combined External Support Scenario
  • Conclusion: Unlocking Foreign Assistance
  • Further Reading
  • 15 Climate Change
  • Africa as a Climate Change Taker
  • The Global Energy Transition
  • Carbon Emissions and Energy in Africa
  • The Impact of Climate Change
  • Comparing Carbon Emissions in Different Scenarios
  • Responding to Climate Change
  • Development as a Coping and Planning Mechanism
  • Conclusion: Finding an Environmentally Sustainable Pathway
  • Further Reading
  • 16 Closing the Gap
  • Prospects in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • GDP Per Capita in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • Size of Economies in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • Extreme Poverty in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • Carbon Emissions in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • Structural Change of Economies in the Close the Gap Scenario
  • Comparing the Impact of Individual Scenarios Over Time
  • Scenario Comparison Using Income Per Person as Key Indicator
  • Scenario Comparison Using Progress with the Human Development Index, Inequality and Extreme Poverty
  • What Is Possible? A Comparison with China
  • A Passion for Knowledge and Development
  • In Conclusion
  • Further Reading.
  • Index.

Similar Items