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Model-Based Demography : Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Burch, Thomas K.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG, 2017.
Edition:1st ed.
Series:Demographic Research Monographs
Subjects:
Electronic books.
Online Access:Click to View
Table of Contents:
  • Intro
  • Preface
  • References
  • Acknowledgments
  • Contents
  • Part I: A Model-Based View of Demography
  • Chapter 1: Demography in a New Key: A Theory of Population Theory
  • 1.1 Introduction
  • 1.2 Some Demographic Models Revisited
  • 1.3 Demography Reconsidered
  • 1.4 Conclusion
  • References
  • Chapter 2: Data, Models, Theory and Reality: The Structure of Demographic Knowledge
  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 The Methodology of Ansley J. Coale
  • 2.3 Nathan Keyfitz on the Fruitfulness of Abstract Modelling
  • 2.4 A Model-Based View of Science
  • 2.5 Elements of Science
  • 2.6 Assessing Scientific Knowledge
  • 2.7 Coda: On the Dangers of Dichotomies
  • References
  • Chapter 3: Computer Modeling of Theory: Explanation for the Twenty-First Century
  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Explanation as Logical Inference
  • 3.3 The Origins of Theoretical Ideas Are Irrelevant
  • 3.4 Towards More Complexity
  • 3.5 Manipulating Complex Systems
  • 3.6 Relating Theoretical Models to the Real World
  • 3.7 Concluding Comment
  • References
  • Chapter 4: Computer Simulation and Statistical Modeling: Rivals or Complements?
  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Analytic Tools and Their Disparate Uses
  • 4.3 Modeling Data and Modeling Ideas About the Real World
  • 4.4 Hybrids and Mixed Forms: Revisiting the Dichotomies
  • 4.5 Concluding Comments
  • References
  • Chapter 5: Does Demography Need Differential Equations?
  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Predator-Prey and Other Differential Equations in Demographic Literature
  • 5.3 Lotkaś Patrimony
  • 5.4 Lotka the Human Demographer
  • 5.5 Lotka the Theorist
  • 5.6 Abbot on Coleman vs. Blalock
  • 5.7 Systems Dynamics Software
  • 5.8 Concluding Comment
  • References
  • Part II: Some Demographic Models Re-visited
  • Chapter 6: Theory, Computers and the Parameterization of Demographic Behavior
  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 The Coale-McNeil Model.
  • 6.3 The Hernes Model
  • 6.4 Canonization Versus Relative Neglect
  • 6.5 The Sociology of Demography
  • 6.6 Afterthoughts and Updates
  • References
  • Chapter 7: Estimating the Goodman, Keyfitz and Pullum Kinship Equations: An Alternative Procedure
  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Estimating Kin Numbers
  • 7.3 Discussion
  • Appendices
  • Appendix A: Tablecurve Output for Fit of Survival Curve
  • Appendix B: Facsimile of Mathcad Worksheet for Kin Numbers
  • References
  • Chapter 8: The Life Table as a Theoretical Model
  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Another Perspective on Life Tables
  • 8.3 From Measurement to Simulation
  • 8.4 Modeling as Theory
  • References
  • Chapter 9: Cohort Component Projection: Algorithm, Technique, Model and Theory
  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Anatole Romaniuc on Population Projections
  • 9.3 Towards Rethinking Demography
  • References
  • Chapter 10: The Cohort-Component Population Projection: A Strange Attractor for Demographers
  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 The Cohort-Component Population Projection Model: An Overview
  • 10.3 The Many Strengths of the CPP Model
  • 10.4 Easy Mathematics
  • 10.5 Demographers and Mathematics
  • 10.6 Some Further Questions
  • 10.7 Conclusion
  • References
  • Part III: Teaching Demography
  • Chapter 11: Teaching Demography: Ten Principles and Two Rationales
  • 11.1 Introduction
  • 11.2 Ten Principles for Teaching Demography
  • 11.2.1 Teaching and Texts in Other Disciplines
  • 11.3 A Philosophical Rationale
  • 11.4 Concluding Comments
  • References
  • Chapter 12: Teaching the Fundamentals of Demography: A Model-Based Approach to Fertility
  • 12.1 Introduction
  • 12.2 Some Concrete Examples of Abstract Fertility Models
  • 12.3 Towards More Complex Models
  • 12.4 Concluding Comments
  • References
  • Chapter 13: On Teaching Demography: Some Non-traditional Guidelines
  • 13.1 Introduction.
  • 13.2 Logical Empiricism
  • 13.3 An Alternative to Logical Empiricism
  • 13.4 Questioning the Formal/Behavioral Distinction
  • 13.5 Concluding Comment
  • 13.6 Ten Principles for Teaching Basic Demography
  • References
  • Part IV: Conclusion
  • Chapter 14: Concluding Thoughts
  • References
  • Index.

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