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The Illusion of Risk Control : What Does It Take to Live with Uncertainty?

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Motet, Gilles.
Other Authors: Bieder, Corinne.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG, 2017.
Edition:1st ed.
Series:SpringerBriefs in Applied Sciences and Technology Series
Subjects:
Electronic books.
Online Access:Click to View
Table of Contents:
  • Intro
  • Contents
  • 1 Uncertainty: New Perspectives, Questions and Proposals
  • 1.1 Uncertainty: A New Perspective on Safety
  • 1.2 Uncertainty: New Questions for Safety Management
  • 1.3 Uncertainty: New Proposals
  • 2 Uncertainty
  • -Its Ontological Status and Relation to Safety
  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.1.1 From Risk to Uncertainty
  • 2.1.2 The Connotation and Use of the Concept of Safety, Security, Risk and (un)Certainty
  • 2.1.3 MSc Students' Perception of Uncertainty When Studying Societal Safety at the University of Stavanger
  • 2.1.4 Uncertainty and Its Relation to Risk Theory and Conceptualizations
  • 2.2 Contextual Prerequisites for the Uncertainty Concept
  • 2.2.1 Time
  • -Past, Present and the Future
  • 2.2.2 System States Through Lenses of Scientific Disciplines
  • 2.3 Perspectives on Uncertainty in Various Enterprises/Sectors
  • 2.3.1 Health Sector
  • 2.3.2 Aviation/Helicopter Transport
  • 2.4 Concluding Remarks
  • References
  • 3 A Conceptual Foundation for Assessing and Managing Risk, Surprises and Black Swans
  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Risk Perspectives, Brief Review of Historical and Recent Development Trends
  • 3.3 Risk, Surprises and Black Swans
  • 3.4 Assessing and Managing Surprising Events and Black Swans
  • 3.4.1 Assessment
  • 3.4.2 Risk Management
  • 3.5 Conclusions
  • References
  • 4 Recognizing Complexity in Risk Management: The Challenge of the Improbable
  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Revisiting the Concepts
  • 4.2.1 Limitations of the Current Paradigm
  • 4.2.2 The Total Predetermination Fallacy
  • 4.2.3 What Is Uncertainty?
  • 4.2.4 Environment Ontologies: A Taxonomy of Complexity
  • 4.2.5 Uncertainty and Cognitive Control
  • 4.2.6 Uncertainty and Risk Management
  • 4.3 Is There a `Credible Alternative'?
  • 4.3.1 Nature and Scope of Necessary Changes
  • 4.3.2 Suggesting New Trails
  • 4.4 Conclusion
  • References.
  • 5 Practices in the Danger Culture of Late Industrial Society
  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 The Danger Culture of Industrial Society
  • 5.3 Negotiations in Intersecting Social Worlds, Rather than Implementation of RegulationThis section draws heavily on an unpublished paper, which is now in the public domain as part of a collection of papers by Arie Rip on the occasion of a conference in honour of his being retired 18. The text and figures draw on this paper, with only minor modifications.
  • 5.4 Conclusion
  • References
  • 6 Judicial Review of Uncertain Risks in Scientific Research
  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Background on the LHC/Black-Hole Disaster Scenario
  • 6.2.1 CERN and the LHC
  • 6.2.2 Black Holes and the Evolving Safety Rationale
  • 6.3 Conceptual and Practical Problems
  • 6.3.1 The Lack of Disinterested Experts
  • 6.3.2 The Need for Uncertain Scientific Principles Under Investigation
  • 6.3.3 The Effect of Uncertainty in Low-Probability Assessments
  • 6.4 Rhetorical Issues
  • 6.4.1 Using Pricelessness to Avoid Quantitative Analysis of Benefits
  • 6.4.2 Moving Away from the ``Probability Mode''
  • 6.4.3 Constructing the Quantum Straw Man
  • 6.5 Implications for Courts
  • 6.5.1 Evaluating Uncertain Risks in Qualitative Terms
  • 6.5.2 Testing the Opinions of Science-Experiment Proponents by Analogy to Their Opinions Outside the Context of the Controverted Experiment
  • 6.6 Conclusion
  • References
  • 7 What Can Japan's Early Modern Capital of Edo Teach Us About Risk Management?
  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Six Principles Drawn from Edo's Fire Management
  • 7.2.1 Build Light, Travel Light
  • 7.2.2 Strong Social Infrastructure Counterbalances Vulnerable Physical Infrastructure
  • 7.2.3 Disaster Clarifies Society's Hierarchy of Values
  • 7.2.4 Give People Some Control Over Their Fates and They Will Tolerate Risk.
  • 7.2.5 Personal Risk Differs from Systemic Uncertainty
  • 7.2.6 Safety Decisions Are Political Decisions
  • 7.3 Conclusion
  • References
  • 8 Conclusion
  • 8.1 Uncertainty: A Multi-faceted Notion
  • 8.2 Uncertainty: A Relative Notion
  • 8.3 Reconciling Risk Management and Social Science Approaches to Uncertainty
  • 8.4 Should We Fear Uncertainty?
  • 8.5 Living with Uncertainty: Beyond Organizations and Regulators...
  • References.

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