Table of Contents: Agriculture & Food Systems To 2050 :

Agriculture & Food Systems To 2050 : Global Trends, Challenges And Opportunities.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Serraj, Rachid.
Other Authors:	Pingali, Prabhu.
Format:	eBook
Language:	English
Published:	Singapore : World Scientific Publishing Company, 2018.
Edition:	1st ed.
Series:	World Scientific Series In Grand Public Policy Challenges Of The 21st Century
Subjects:	Electronic books.
Online Access:	Click to View

Table of Contents:

Intro
Contents
Foreword
About the Editors
List of Contributors
Part I - Agriculture and Food Systems: Looking towards 2030/2050
Chapter 1 - Agriculture and Food Systems to 2050: A Synthesis
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Urbanization, Demographic Transitions, and the Transformation of Smallholder Farming
1.3 Climate Change and Agri-Food Systems
1.4 Food Systems for Better Nutrition and Health
1.5 Sustainable and Resilient Farming Systems
1.6 New Science and Technology for Managing Systemic Complexity and Trade-offs
1.7 Conclusions
References
Chapter 2 - Global Drivers and Megatrends in Agri-Food Systems
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Approaches to Foresight
2.3 A Brief Overview of Recent Foresight Studies on Food Security and Agri-Food Systems
2.3.1 Methodological approach
2.3.2 Food, human nutrition, and diets
2.3.3 Agro-environmental futures
2.3.4 Technology and innovation for sustainable food systems
2.3.5 Gaining insights into food system analyses through combined quantitative modeling and qualitative approaches
2.3.6 Advantages of participatory techniques
2.3.7 Adaptation pathways
2.4 Relevant Drivers in Agri-Food System Analyses
2.5 Megatrends and Less-Explored Areas in Food System Analyses
2.5.1 Fourteen megatrends identified through the Megatrends Hub
2.5.2 Underexplored trends in recent foresight work
2.6 Conclusions
References
Part II - Food System Threats and Challenges
Chapter 3 - Migration, Demography, and Agri-Food Systems
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Traditional Pathways and Emerging Trends
3.3 Demographic Trends: Rural and Youth Population Projections
3.4 Rural-Urban Migration Trends
3.4.1 Data gaps and challenges
3.4.2 Methodology
3.4.2.1 Projections of migration rates
3.4.2.2 Youth migration rates.
3.4.2.3 Aggregation of migration rates
3.4.2.4 Methodological assumptions and their implications
3.4.3 Projections of rural-urban migration rates
3.4.3.1 Global view
3.4.3.2 Rural-urban migration by gender
3.4.3.3 Trends in agri-food systems and rural-urban migration
3.5 Climate Change, Migration, and Demography
3.6 Seasonal Migration: A Nascent Literature
3.7 Conclusions
Appendix A: Country Groupings
Appendix B: Methodology for Projections of Rural-Urban (Youth) Migration: Survival Ratio Method
B.1 Total Population
B.2 Youth Migration
References
Chapter 4 - Urbanization, Agriculture, and Smallholder Farming
4.1 Introduction
4.2 A Changing Context for Agriculture
4.2.1 Increasing urbanization
4.2.2 Changing food value chains
4.2.3 Growing international trade
4.2.4 Changes in the distribution of land
4.3 The Future of Small Farms
4.3.1 A "reverse" transition
4.3.2 Prognosis
4.3.3 Diverging livelihood pathways
4.4 Implications for Small Farm Policies and Agricultural Research
4.4.1 Implications for assisting small farms
4.4.2 Implications for agricultural research
4.5 Conclusions
References
Chapter 5 - Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Agro-climatic Trends and System Responses
5.2.1 Observed changes to agricultural climates
5.2.2 Direct climate impacts on agricultural systems
5.2.3 Indirect mechanisms for agro-climatological impacts
5.2.4 Agricultural system influences on the climate system
5.3 Projected Climate Changes for Agricultural Regions
5.4 Ramifications of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector
5.5 Agricultural Modeling for Climate Vulnerability Foresight
References
Chapter 6 - Environment and Natural Resources
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Freshwater
6.3 Land
6.4 Phosphorus.
6.5 Marine Resources
6.6 Ecosystems
6.7 Availability of Natural Resources: Scenarios
6.8 Broader Context
6.9 Conclusion
References
Chapter 7 - Food Systems, Diets, and Nutrition
7.1 The World's Many Nutrition Challenges
7.2 India as a Case Study
7.3 Pathways from Agriculture to Diets and Nutrition
7.3.1 Agricultural diversification
7.3.2 Irrigation and water availability
7.3.3 Water quality
7.3.4 Women's labor use in agriculture
7.3.5 Exposure to zoonotic diseases
7.3.6 Food safety
7.4 Challenges and Opportunities Ahead
References
Part III - Technological Innovation and Disruptive Futures
Chapter 8 - Innovation in Breeding and Biotechnology
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Background to Genetic Improvement
8.3 Sources of Future Genetic Gains
8.3.1 Enhancing the efficiency of current breeding technologies
8.3.1.1 Expanding the germplasm pool
8.3.1.2 Recombination
8.3.1.3 Population size
8.3.1.4 Heritability
8.3.1.5 Breeding cycle
8.3.2 Generating major changes in breeding methodologies
8.3.2.1 Enhancing photosynthesis
8.3.2.2 Transferring nitrogen fixation to non-legume crops
8.3.2.3 Hybrid breeding and apomixis
8.4 Technology Adoption
8.4.1 The production system
8.4.2 Technology transfer between species and crops
8.4.3 Regulation and acceptance by consumers/governments
8.5 Biotechnology in the Improvement of Farm Animals
8.5.1 Transgenic animals
8.5.2 Genome editing
8.5.3 Reproductive technologies
8.5.4 Human nutrition, pharmaceutical, and biomedical applications
8.5.5 Fish and other seafood
8.6 Where to Next?
8.7 Conclusions
References
Chapter 9 - Advancing to the Next Generation of Precision Agriculture
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Technological Advances
9.3 Worldwide Precision Agriculture.
9.4 Applications of Technology to Seasonal Monitoring
9.4.1 Case study: Spray application technology for precision agriculture
9.4.2 Case study: Variable-rate application
9.5 Remote Sensing for Precision Agriculture
9.5.1 Aerial multispectral imaging for assessing crop injury from off-target drift of aerially applied glyphosate
9.5.2 Case study: Build DSM to estimate plant height
9.5.3 Field observation scale optimization and multisource data fusion and assimilation
9.6 Precision Agriculture Systems for a
9.6.1 Remote-sensing models for precision agriculture-based statistics
9.6.2 Spatially specific agricultural statistics (yield, production, area)
9.7 Precision Agriculture for Smallholders and Developing Countries
9.8 Precision Agriculture in the Next 10 Years
References
Chapter 10 - Disruptive Futures: Prospects for Breakthrough Technologies
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Technology Trends
10.2.1 Bioinformatics
10.2.2 Smart farming
10.2.3 Genetics
10.2.4 Synthetic biology
10.2.5 Protein transition
10.2.6 Food design
10.2.7 Aquaculture
10.2.8 Vertical agriculture
10.2.9 Conservation technology
10.3 The Grand Societal Challenges
10.4 When Agri-Food Technology Meets the Grand Societal Challenges
10.4.1 Health, demographic change, and well-being
10.4.2 Secure, clean, and efficient energy
10.4.3 Smart, green, and integrated transport
10.4.4 Climate action, environment, resource efficiency, and raw materials
10.4.5 Europe in a changing world-Inclusive, innovative, and reflective societies
10.4.6 Secure societies-Protecting freedom and security of Europe and its citizens
10.5 Agri-Food Technology and Future Scenarios
10.5.1 Economic optimism
10.5.2 Reformed markets
10.5.3 Global sustainable development
10.5.4 Regional competition.
10.5.5 Regional sustainable development
10.6 Concluding Remarks
10.6.1 Potential breakthrough technologies in light of the Grand Societal Challenges
10.6.2 Potential breakthrough technologies in the light of future scenarios
10.6.3 Insights and recommendations for further research
References
Chapter 11 - Investor Perspectives on Future Priorities
Overview
11.1 Current State of Capital Flows to African Agriculture
11.1.1 The investment ladder for SME agribusinesses
11.1.2 Incubators and accelerators
11.1.3 Commercial banks
11.1.4 Impact investors
11.1.5 The missing middle in the investment ladder
11.2 Future Priorities for Commercial Investors
11.2.1 Constraints to investment
11.2.1.1 Lack of infrastructure
11.2.1.2 Deficiencies in the broader value chain
11.2.1.3 Limited deal flow
11.2.1.4 Position on the cost curve
11.2.1.5 Insufficient supply of talent for managing large-scale agricultural operations
11.2.1.6 High environment, social, and governance (ESG) risk
11.2.2 Lessons from the past
11.2.2.1 Analysis of CDC's agriculture investments in Africa (1948-1998)
11.2.3 Current trends and opportunities for the future
11.2.3.1 Choice of country
11.2.3.2 Distribution of new agribusiness investments in Africa by segment
11.2.3.3 Choice of commodity
11.3 Creating Shared Value in African Agriculture
11.3.1 Development thesis of impact investors
11.3.1.1 Agricultural development
11.3.1.2 Rural job creation
11.3.1.3 Development of the agri-food sector
11.3.2 Key agricultural development models
11.3.3 Value-chain clusters and creating shared value
11.3.3.1 Fostering clusters and enhancing entire value chains
11.3.3.2 Creating shared value (CSV) through reconnecting business and society
11.3.3.3 Responding to growing resource constraints.
11.3.3.4 Responding to consumer demands.

Agriculture & Food Systems To 2050 : Global Trends, Challenges And Opportunities.

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