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Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy : Multidisciplinary Methods and Tools for a Low Carbon Society.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Doukas, Haris.
Other Authors: Flamos, Alexandros., Lieu, Jenny.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG, 2018.
Edition:1st ed.
Subjects:
Electronic books.
Online Access:Click to View
Table of Contents:
  • Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy
  • Foreword
  • Editorial
  • Organisation of the Book
  • Acknowledgement
  • Contents
  • About the Editors
  • A Detailed Overview and Consistent Classification of Climate-Economy Models
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Classifying Climate-Economy Models
  • 3 Optimal Growth Models
  • 4 Computable General Equilibrium Models
  • 5 Partial Equilibrium Models
  • 6 Energy System Models
  • 7 Macroeconometric Models
  • 8 Other Integrated Assessment Models
  • 9 Concluding Remarks
  • References
  • ``Consensus Building in Engagement Processes ́́for Reducing Risks in Developing Sustainable Pathways: Indigenous Interest as C...
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Previous and Current Studies Integrating Indigenous Knowledge and Climate Change
  • 3 Inclusion of Indigenous Interests: Free, Prior and Informed Consent
  • 4 Indigenous Legal Rights and Consultation Process in Canada
  • 5 Risks Identified in the Current Consultation Process Within the Canadian Context
  • 5.1 Government Aspect
  • 5.2 Indigenous Aspect
  • 5.3 Industry Aspect
  • 5.4 Who Bears the Responsibility?
  • 6 Understanding Indigenous Ways of Knowing and World Views as Essential Step Towards Inclusion
  • 6.1 Respect
  • 6.2 Relevant
  • 6.3 Reciprocating
  • 6.4 Responsibility
  • 7 Framework
  • 7.1 Pre-assessment
  • 7.2 Development: Listening and Conversations
  • 7.3 Implementation: Inclusion and Accommodation
  • 7.4 Monitoring and Learning: Responsibility and Accommodation
  • 7.5 Reflection: Lessons
  • 8 Conclusions
  • References
  • An Application of Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 The ABM for the Diffusion of Small-Scale Solar PV
  • 3 The Concept of Emulators
  • 3.1 Gaussian Processes for Regression
  • 3.2 Benefits of Using Gaussian Processes as Emulators
  • 4 The Design and Validation of the GP Emulator.
  • 4.1 Options for the Emulator Form
  • 4.2 Fitting the GP Emulator
  • 4.3 Diagnostics
  • 4.4 Sensitivity Analysis
  • 5 Model Calibration
  • 5.1 The History Matching Method
  • 5.2 The Patient Rule Induction Method
  • 5.3 Calibration and Extrapolation Results
  • 6 Discussion
  • References
  • Investments in the EU Power System: A Stress Test Analysis on the Effectiveness of Decarbonisation Policies
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Modelling Investments in Electricity Generation and Transmission
  • 2.1 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Considerations for Optimal Portfolio
  • 2.2 EMPIRE Model Formulation
  • 3 Energy Transition: Cases and EMPIRE Model Results
  • 3.1 Defining Cases
  • 3.2 Results for 2020-2030 Period: All Cases
  • 3.3 Results for Reference Cases 2030-2050
  • 3.4 Results for Decarbonisation Cases 2030-2050
  • 4 Robustness Tool and Stress Testing the Optimal Portfolios
  • 5 Conclusions
  • Appendices
  • Appendix 1 Nomenclature Used in the EMPIRE Model Formulation
  • Appendix 2 Technological Assumptions for EMPIRE Implementation
  • References
  • Impact Assessment of Climate and Energy Policy Scenarios: A Multi-criteria Approach
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Defining the Problem
  • 2.1 The Scenarios
  • 2.2 The Multi-criteria Evaluation System
  • 2.2.1 The Criteria
  • 2.2.2 The PROMETHEE Method
  • 2.2.3 Simos Procedure
  • 3 Pilot Application and Scenario Analysis
  • 4 Conclusions
  • References
  • Water Stress Implications of Energy Scenarios for the Middle East: An Assessment of Risks and Uncertainties
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 The Energy-Water-Food Nexus
  • 3 Case Study on the Middle East
  • 4 Results and Discussion
  • 5 Conclusions and Recommendations
  • Appendix
  • References
  • Evaluation of National Environmental Efficiency Under Uncerta
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Literature Review
  • 3 Methodology
  • 3.1 General
  • 3.2 Envelopment Models
  • 3.3 Slack-Based Models.
  • 3.4 Incorporating Uncertainty
  • 3.5 Data and Modeling
  • 4 Results
  • 4.1 SBEI Results for Model A
  • 4.2 SBEI Results for Model B
  • 4.3 Stochastic Efficiency
  • 5 Concluding Remarks
  • References
  • Hypothesis for a Risk Cost of Carbon: Revising the Externalities and Ethics of Climate Change
  • 1 Introduction
  • 1.1 Externalized Cost of Carbon
  • 1.2 Positive Carbon Price
  • 1.3 Climate Systemic Risk
  • 1.4 Biophysical Economics
  • 1.5 Future Carbon Emissions
  • 1.6 Network Theory
  • 2 Holistic Market Hypothesis
  • 2.1 Risk Cost of Carbon
  • 2.2 Market Policy Dualism
  • 2.3 Epistemology of Complementary Relationships
  • 3 Global Carbon Reward
  • 3.1 Policy Background
  • 3.2 Policy Framework
  • 3.3 Parallel Currency
  • 3.4 Financial Mechanism
  • 3.5 Risk Assessments
  • 4 Analytical Verification
  • 4.1 Premise
  • 4.2 Epistemological Translation
  • 4.3 Axioms
  • 4.4 Translation for Price Reversal (Step 1)
  • 4.5 Translation for Currency Units (Step 2)
  • 4.6 Translation for the Arrow of Time (Step 3)
  • 4.7 Comparative Check for Time Asymmetry
  • 5 Discussion
  • 5.1 Theoretical Cogency
  • 5.1.1 Interdisciplinary Interpretation
  • 5.1.2 Experimental Testing
  • 5.1.3 Resolution of the Temporal Paradox
  • Time Discounting of Consumption
  • Time Discounting of Investments
  • 5.2 Practical Applications
  • 5.2.1 The Paris Climate Agreement
  • 5.2.2 Achieving Net Zero Emissions
  • 5.2.3 Managing Global Growth
  • 5.3 Philosophy and Ethics
  • 6 Concluding Remarks
  • 7 Research Recommendations
  • References
  • Assessment of Renewable Energy Projects Using a Decision Support System: A Process to Endorse the Social License to Operate
  • 1 Introduction
  • 2 Methodological Framework
  • 3 The Evaluated Hypothetical Scenarios and Discussion
  • 4 Conclusions
  • References
  • A Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model.
  • 1 Energy Policy and the Concept of Direct and Multiple Steering
  • 2 Current Issues of the EU ETS
  • 3 Existing Carbon Taxation Models
  • 3.1 Differential Taxation
  • 3.2 Carbon Tax with Border Tax Adjustments
  • 3.3 United Kingdom: Carbon Price Floor
  • 4 Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model
  • 5 Legal Considerations with Respect to International and EU Law
  • 6 Climate and Supply Market Model Example: Switzerland
  • 7 Variations of the Climate and Supply Market Model
  • 8 Adaption Potential for the Climate and Supply Market Model
  • 9 Conclusion
  • References.

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