Demand forecasting for managers /

Most decisions and plans in a firm require a forecast. Not matching supply with demand can make or break any business, and that is why forecasting is so invaluable. Forecasting can appear as a frightening topic with many arcane equations to master. We therefore start out from the very basics and pro...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kolassa, Stephan., (Author), Siemsen, Enno., (Author)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: New York, New York (222 East 46th Street, New York, NY 10017) : Business Expert Press, 2016.
Edition:First edition.
Series:Supply and operations management collection.
Subjects:
Online Access:Click to View
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100 1 |a Kolassa, Stephan.,  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Demand forecasting for managers /  |c Stephan Kolassa, Enno Siemsen. 
250 |a First edition. 
264 1 |a New York, New York (222 East 46th Street, New York, NY 10017) :  |b Business Expert Press,  |c 2016. 
300 |a 1 online resource (158 pages) 
336 |a text  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |2 rdacarrier 
490 1 |a Supply and operations management collection,  |x 2156-8200 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 147-153) and index. 
505 0 |a Part 1. Introduction -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Choice under uncertainty -- 3. A simple example -- Part 2. Forecasting basics -- 4. Know your time series -- 5. Time series decomposition -- Part 3. Forecasting models -- 6. Exponential smoothing -- 7. ARIMA models -- 8. Causal models and leading indicators -- 9. Count data and intermittent demands -- 10. Human judgment -- Part 4. Forecasting quality -- 11. Forecast quality measures -- 12. Forecasting competitions -- Part 5. Forecasting organization -- 13. Sales and operations planning -- 14. Forecasting hierarchies -- References -- Index.  
506 1 |a Access restricted to authorized users and institutions. 
520 3 |a Most decisions and plans in a firm require a forecast. Not matching supply with demand can make or break any business, and that is why forecasting is so invaluable. Forecasting can appear as a frightening topic with many arcane equations to master. We therefore start out from the very basics and provide a nontechnical overview of common forecasting techniques as well as organizational aspects of creating a robust forecasting process. We also discuss how to measure forecast accuracy to hold people accountable and guide continuous improvement. This book does not require prior knowledge of higher mathematics, statistics, or operations research. It is designed to serve as a first introduction to the nonexpert, such as a manager overseeing a forecasting group, or an MBA student who needs to be familiar with the broad outlines of forecasting without specializing in it. 
588 |a Title from PDF title page (viewed on August 29, 2016). 
590 |a Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2016. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries. 
650 0 |a Business forecasting. 
653 |a forecasting 
653 |a sales and operations planning 
653 |a decision making 
653 |a service levels 
653 |a statistics thinking 
653 |a choice under uncertainty 
653 |a forecast accuracy 
653 |a intermittent demand 
653 |a forecasting competition 
653 |a judgmental forecasting 
655 4 |a Electronic books. 
700 1 |a Siemsen, Enno.,  |e author. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |z 9781606495025 
797 2 |a ProQuest (Firm) 
830 0 |a Supply and operations management collection.  |x 2156-8200 
856 4 0 |u https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/matrademy/detail.action?docID=4648346  |z Click to View