Eliciting Probabilistic Expectations with Visual Aids in Developing Countries: How Sensitive Are Answers to Variations in Elicitation Design?

Eliciting subjective probability distributions in developing countries is often based on visual aids such as beans to represent probabilities and intervals on a sheet of paper to represent the support. We conduct an experiment in India which tests the sensitivity of elicited expectations to variatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Delavande, Adeline, Gine, Xavier, McKenzie, David
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5629