Brazil 2020 Data Update : Methodological Adjustments to the World Bank’s Poverty and Inequality Estimates
The Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) is the main source of information for poverty monitoring in Brazil. The PNADC 2020 annual release was published in November 2021. The 2020 survey underwent methodological changes...
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| Language: | English |
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World Bank, Washington, DC
2022
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099815204132219104/IDU0cdb267100a24104a010b1ab03dd511e0d135 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37513 |
| Summary: | The Continuous National Household
Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) is the main source of
information for poverty monitoring in Brazil. The PNADC 2020
annual release was published in November 2021. The 2020
survey underwent methodological changes compared to earlier
years. Most changes do not affect comparability with
previous years. However, there is evidence of significant
under-coverage of the “Auxilio Emergencial” (AE) program.
While administrative records indicate over 68 million AE
recipients, only about 20 million are observed in the
survey. This paper describes an approach to impute AE
beneficiary status as a way to complement the observed AE
status as reported in the survey and to better capture the
evolution of income and poverty in Brazil during COVID-19.
Incorporating eligibility criteria from the AE (demographic,
employment, and income), the method results in 42.2 million
AE recipients in the survey – leading to a more reasonable
undercoverage rate. Sensitivity analyses find similar
results. The adjustments described in this paper are
included in the World Bank’s poverty and inequality
estimates for Brazil 2020 (published in April 2022). The
poverty estimates in 2020 are 13.1 percent at the US$5.50
poverty line and 1.7 percent at the US$1.90 line. The Gini
coefficient is estimated at 0.488. |
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