Rethinking Electricity Tariffs and Subsidies in Pakistan
Pakistan's electricity sector is in crisis: extended periods of blackouts persisted in 2010 and circular debt is increasing. Despite investments in generation capacity, electricity demand continues to exceed supply, with blackouts as long as 8...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/07/14928557/rethinking-electricity-tariffs-subsidies-pakistan http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19456 |
Summary: | Pakistan's electricity sector is in
crisis: extended periods of blackouts persisted in 2010 and
circular debt is increasing. Despite investments in
generation capacity, electricity demand continues to exceed
supply, with blackouts as long as 8-10 hours per day in
cities and sometimes double that in rural areas, and is
widely recognized as a severe obstacle to growth and poverty
reduction. In November 2010, the government was forced to
rent the world's largest power ship to boost generation
capacity. Meanwhile, the government of Pakistan's (GOP)
inability to finance its commitment to fund subsidies,
inefficiencies of the sector entities including low
collections, delays in determination and notifications, and
increased cost of fuel imports contribute to an increasingly
severe circular debt problem. The analysis shows that given
the current cost of electricity supply, the March 2011
tariff structure will improve the benefit incidence of
electricity subsidies for residential users and reduce
fiscal burden significantly in comparison to March 2008. For
example, our estimations suggest the share of electricity
subsidies for the richest 20 percent of the population
declined from nearly 40 percent in March 2008 to 29 percent
in March 2011. Despite this improvement, the richest
households remain the greatest beneficiaries of the
subsidies. Also, while the fiscal burden of electricity
subsidies increased in nominal terms during the same time
period, it declined by almost 60 percent in real terms. The
results of the benefits incidence and scenario analyses have
a number of policy implications for the fiscal burden of
subsidies, and their ability to protect the poor and
vulnerable efficiently. |
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